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SportsLine Model Reveals Surprising Picks for 2024 RBC Canadian Open

SportsLine Model Reveals Surprising Picks for 2024 RBC Canadian Open

The PGA Tour heads to Ontario, Canada next week for the 2024 RBC Canadian Open at Hamilton Golf Club. While Rory McIlroy is the odds-on favorite at +330, the wide-open field provides ample opportunity for surprises according to expert predictions.



SportsLine's golf simulation model has evaluated the field for the Canadian Open 10,000 times. The model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has correctly predicted the last 12 major golf championships and earned almost $9,000 for bettors since the restart of the PGA Tour in 2020. 


Some surprising picks to emerge from the model's simulations include Taylor Pendrith at odds of 65-1 and Mark Hubbard at 80-1. Pendrith, who hails from nearby Ontario, has played well recently with a win at the Byron Nelson and top-15 finishes in his last four starts. The model also sees value in backing Canadian Nick Taylor, the defending champion, at 70-1 odds to repeat.


In addition, the model is fading Tommy Fleetwood, who has struggled in recent months despite being listed at second favorite behind McIlroy at +1800. SportsLine's model only has Fleetwood finishing outside the top five. Bettors would be wise to consider the model's predictions when evaluating potential upset picks in what shapes as an open Canadian Open field.



2024 RBC Canadian Open odds, field


Rory McIlroy +330

Tommy Fleetwood +1800

Sahith Theegala +2000

Shane Lowry +2200

Cameron Young +2200

Sam Burns +2500

Alex Noren +2500

Corey Conners +2500

Adam Scott +3000

Keith Mitchell +3500

Maverick McNealy +4000

Aaron Rai +4500

Mackenzie Hughes +4500

Akshay Bhatia +5000

Tom Kim +5000

Davis Thompson +5000

Erik van Rooyen +5500

Adam Hadwin +5500

Taylor Pendrith +6000

Kevin Yu +7000

Nick Taylor +7000

Matt Wallace +7500

Daniel Berger +7500

Doug Ghim +8000

Ryan Fox +8000

Mark Hubbard +8000

Ben Griffin +8000

Nicolai Hojgaard +8000

Robert MacIntyre +8000

Beau Hossler +8000

Ryo Hisatsune +9000

Davis Riley +9000

Thorbjorn Olesen +9000

Seamus Power +10000

Eric Cole +10000

Adam Svensson +10000

Sam Stevens +11000

Greyson Sigg +11000

K.H. Lee +11000

S.H. Kim +11000

Luke List +11000

Matt Kuchar +12000

Andrew Novak +12000

Chan Kim +12000

Jhonattan Vegas +12000

Joseph Bramlett +12000

Nate Lashley +12000

Justin Lower +12000

Victor Perez +12000

Michael Kim +12000

Bud Cauley +12000

Sam Ryder +15000

Mac Meissner +15000

Chesson Hadley +15000

Kevin Tway +15000

Matti Schmid +15000

Ben Silverman +15000

C.T. Pan +15000

J.J. Spaun +15000

Gary Woodland +15000


How to make 2024 RBC Canadian Open picks


Consider longshot options highlighted by the proven SportsLine model like Taylor Pendrith (+6500), Mark Hubbard (+8000), and Nick Taylor (+7000). The model gives these players among the best chances to win based on form and course history.


Look beyond top names with lower odds. While Rory McIlroy (+330) and Tommy Fleetwood (+1800) are favorites, the model isn't high on Fleetwood's chances and simulates others finishing higher.


Pay attention to in-form players. Pendrith, Hubbard and Taylor have been playing well recently with top finishes, showing current form is important on prediction.


Factor in local/nationality advantages. Pendrith and Taylor being from Canada/Ontario may help motivation and course familiarity at a homeland event.


Consult the model's projected leaderboard. It not only gives win odds but simulates where players are most likely to finish, helping with betting options beyond the winner.


Consider longer shots recommended by the model's stats, like Matthew Jordan (+25000), Dean Burmester (+30000) and Francesco Laporta (+40000).


Make singles and top-5/10 bets in addition to outright winners to improve odds and cover position finish upside.


Trust the guidance of a model with a strong track record predicting golf results and majors. Its insights can give an edge over betting favorites.




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David has deep connections in the golf equipment industry, having previously worked in sales and marketing roles for major golf brands. He leverages these relationships to provide readers with the inside scoop on the latest gear releases, as well as exclusive deals, discounts and coupon codes that help golfers save money on clubs, balls, apparel and accessories. Readers rely on his expertise to make informed purchasing decisions.

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